What does it mean for November?

Brent Finnegan -- February 13th, 2008

In trying to piece together what happened at the polls yesterday, it’s hard to tell exactly what it means for the election in November. Most indicators are pointing toward an Obama vs McCain fight this fall. So how will Harrisonburg and Rockingham vote?

Looking at the combined numbers for McCain and Huckabee in the county, along with the Chaz’s victory in the rural areas last November, it’s hard to imagine Rockingham going blue under any circumstances. But what about Harrisonburg? In 1996, Dole beat Clinton 4,945 to 3,482. In 2000, Bush beat Gore 5,741 to 3,482. And four years ago, Bush beat Kerry 6,165 to 4,726. The margins are getting smaller while the turnout is going up.

The Dem turnout in the city yesterday was unquestionably high. According to today’s DNR, “more than twice as many people voted in the Democratic race [in the city] as in the Republican race.” Of course, as HBN reader newHburger pointed out last night, “It’s likely GOP turnout was depressed due to McCain’s coronation as Republican frontrunner.”

So, what does it all mean? Calling all amateur political analysts.

54 Responses to “What does it mean for November?”

  1. Lowell Fulk says:

    Having some trouble with this aren’t you?
    Don’t worry, it’ll be o.k.

  2. Frank J Witt says:

    Lowell, my friend, I heard a song today and I would love for you to hear it…http://www.lyricsfreak.com/d/dave+matthews+band/mother+father_20036529.html

  3. JGFitzgerald says:

    Lowell,

    As a functioning liberal, should I quit talking about Nazis and begin referring to Skinhead-Americans? Just wondering.

  4. Lowell Fulk says:

    Oh no Joe… No hyphens. There must have been some bad experience with a hyphen as a child. Perhaps an attack by a pack of wild foreign hyphens… Who knows? But we must, as liberals in good standing, always seek to empathize and show compassion to the hyphen-o-phobic among us as we work to help them overcome their un-reasoned fears.

    Thank you Frank for thinking of me. Do you know of a site where I could hear the song? There’s one line in the lyrics you shared that made me “Imagine”… Thank you again my friend.

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